JL407Japan Airlines · NRT → FRA
live · 13m ago
Route confirmed Japan Airlines

JL407 TokyoNRT · 10:40 Frankfurt am MainFRA · 17:00

JL407 by Japan Airlines flies from Tokyo (NRT) to Frankfurt am Main (FRA) for the Thu, Oct 29 departure.

Right nowEn route to Frankfurt am Main · off blocks 11:07 · 27 min late
16:16

estimated arrival at FRA · local time · ~6h 46m from now

En routeJL407 · position estimated
NRTTokyoFRAFrankfurt am Main
Estimated from the boardsarr 16:16

Board estimate · gate and arrival times. Off blocks 11:07 · typical taxi-out at NRT ≈ 8.4 min. No receiver coverage over open ocean.

Typical arrival−44 minmedian over 3 operations
Wins back in air~70 minmedian gate push vs arrival · how planes make up time →

Where the minutes go

last 3 operations · gate push → arrival
0+30+60+90 min
10-29
+27 gate · −44 arrival
10-28
+24 gate · −48 arrival
10-27
−14 arrival

The bar is how late it left the gate; the ring is where it actually arrived. Board clocks, not estimates.

The route today

live boards
NRTTokyoOn-time likelyNRT delay board →
FRAFrankfurt am MainOn-time likelyFRA delay board →
NRT→FRAevery carrier, schedules and on-time historyRoute intelligence →

Weather lens

Delay & cancellation outlook for this flight

Measured, 90-day sample
25%Chance of 15+ min delay
1.5%Chance of cancellation
+1 minTypical airport delay in this weather

Conditions at NRT and FRA are near their clear-air norm right now, so this reflects the route's recent baseline rather than a weather penalty. These figures come from both airports' records under conditions like today's, over the last 90 days.

Pro Flight Search tracking, 90 days · the weather × delay correlation study → · live weather risk by airport →

Tomorrow on this route

Forecast

Tokyo to Frankfurt am Main with Japan Airlines · Fri 30 Oct, local date

Outlook: below usual
Chance a departure is cancelled
0.8%0.7× usual
Chance a departure leaves 60+ min late
3.0%0.8× usual

Forecast weather: 79% chance of rain at Tokyo

Forecast: WeatherTomorrow · incl. data from ECMWF (CC BY 4.0, modified) · About 1 departures a day on this route with this airline. · Expected values for tomorrow from a forecast model, kept apart from today's measured figures.

When it flies

scheduled departures
061422
M
T
W
T
F
S
S

Each mark is a scheduled departure at its origin-local time. Today is highlighted.

How JL407 actually runs

Pro Flight Search has tracked every published board update for JL407 across the NRT and FRA boards: schedule changes, gate pushes and actual clocks. Early read: no clear pattern yet. Only 2 completed legs so far: left right on schedule but landed about 31 min early. Not enough to call it.

The verdict above is that record speaking, so it reflects how JL407 operates rather than what the timetable promises. Numbers refresh as new flights operate.

Technical record

How this operation is measured

board clocksaircraft

Board log

scheduled → actual, per operation
10-29NRT 10:40 11:07 (+27)FRA 17:00 16:16 (−44)
10-28NRT 10:40 11:04 (+24)FRA 17:00 16:12 (−48)
10-27NRT FRA 17:00 16:46 (−14)

Aircraft

Recent tails: JA881J, JA867J.

Board clocks recorded as NRT and FRA published them.

Planning around JL407? Will a delayed flight be cancelled? · Do planes make up time in the air? · How we measure

Cite this data

Journalists, bloggers, and researchers may cite this page with attribution and a link to Pro Flight Search.

Suggested citation

Pro Flight Search: JL407 Tokyo to Frankfurt am Main on-time performance, measured from the NRT and FRA airport boards.

Canonical URL
https://proflightsearch.com/flight/JL407
How we measure this →