Predictor

Flight delay risk by number

live

Type a flight number for its delay risk and the reasons behind it.

Find out if your flight might be late from our 156 million board records, 567k weather observations, and 327 airports.

Try

Open the flight's own page from the result for live board clocks.

What 156 million board updates taught us

327 airports tracked · 156 million board records · 567k weather observations

Latest predictions

55% within 15 min · ±57 min average error · 11 checked
FlightRoutePredictedActualWhen
PR116 MNLYVR +33m +62m off 22d ago
CX724 KULHKG +17m +35m off 23d ago
BA472 LHRBCN +6m +6m on target 24d ago
BA32 HKGLHR on time +2m on target 32d ago
AA12 LAXBOS on time +20m off 47d ago
AA123 DFWOGG on time +505m off 47d ago
LO80 NRTWAW on time on time on target 48d ago
AF99 IAHCDG +23m +10m on target 48d ago
DL402 MSPRSW +7m awaiting 48d ago
AA61 DFWNRT +5m on time off 48d ago

Predicted is the delay we expected; actual is what the flight did. On target means within 15 minutes.

How it works

We take how this exact flight has actually run recently, add how its origin airport is doing today and the weather and knock-on delays around it, and show the likely delay with the reasons. Every prediction is saved and later checked against what the flight did, which is the accuracy you see above.

Common questions

How does it know if my flight will be late?

It looks at how this exact flight has actually run over its recent departures, how its origin airport is doing today, and the weather and knock-on delays around it, then shows the likely delay with the reasons behind it.

Is it free?

Yes, no signup. Enter a flight number and you get the delay risk straight away.

How accurate is it?

Every prediction is saved and checked against what the flight actually did. The recent hit rate and average error are shown in Latest predictions below, so you can judge it yourself.