LO15LOT Polish Airlines · WAW → EWR
live · 8m ago
Route confirmed LOT Polish Airlines

LO15 WarsawWAW · 16:40 New YorkEWR · 20:25

LO15 by LOT Polish Airlines flies from Warsaw (WAW) to New York (EWR) for the Sun, Nov 1 departure.

Right nowEn route to New York
19:58

estimated arrival at EWR · local time · ~2h 58m from now

En routeLO15 · position estimated
WAWWarsawEWRNew York
Estimated from the boardsarr 19:58

Board estimate · gate and arrival times. No receiver coverage over open ocean.

Typical arrival−22 minmedian over 3 operations

Where the minutes go

last 3 operations · gate push → arrival
0+30+60+90 min
11-01
−27 arrival
10-29
−1 arrival
10-28
−22 arrival

The bar is how late it left the gate; the ring is where it actually arrived. Board clocks, not estimates.

The route today

live boards
WAWWarsawHigh riskWAW delay board →
EWRNew YorkOn-time likelyEWR delay board →
WAW→EWRevery carrier, schedules and on-time historyRoute intelligence →

Weather lens

Delay & cancellation outlook for this flight

Measured, 90-day sample
76%Chance of 15+ min delay
3.0%Chance of cancellation
+35 minTypical airport delay in this weather

Conditions at WAW and EWR are near their clear-air norm right now, so this reflects the route's recent baseline rather than a weather penalty. These figures come from both airports' records under conditions like today's, over the last 90 days.

Pro Flight Search tracking, 90 days · the weather × delay correlation study → · live weather risk by airport →

Tomorrow at Warsaw

Forecast

Mon 2 Nov, local date

High9°Clikely 8°C to 10°C
Low4°Clikely 1°C to 6°C
Outlook: below usual
Chance a departure is cancelled
1.0%usually 1.7%
Chance a departure leaves 60+ min late
5.3%usually 6.7%

Forecast: GateWeather · incl. data from ECMWF (CC BY 4.0, modified) · Based on about 36 departures a day. · Expected values for tomorrow from a forecast model, kept apart from today's measured figures.

Tomorrow at New York

Forecast

Mon 2 Nov, local date

High20°Clikely 18°C to 21°C
Low8°Clikely 6°C to 9°C
Outlook: about usual
Chance a departure is cancelled
0.9%usually 2.6%
Chance a departure leaves 60+ min late
9.1%usually 8.3%

Forecast: GateWeather · incl. data from ECMWF (CC BY 4.0, modified) · Based on about 530 departures a day. · Expected values for tomorrow from a forecast model, kept apart from today's measured figures.

When it flies

scheduled departures
061422
M
T
W
T
F
S
S

Each mark is a scheduled departure at its origin-local time. Today is highlighted.

Other Warsaw to New York flights today

same route · LOT Polish Airlines
LO11departs 14:50
LO2829departs 19:35

If LO15 is cancelled, these are the other LOT Polish Airlines nonstop flights from Warsaw to New York on the same day, with scheduled departure times in WAW local time. Most flights that show a delay still operate. Rebooking usually helps only when that delay is very large. Every airline on this route →

How LO15 actually runs

Pro Flight Search has tracked every published board update for LO15 across the WAW and EWR boards: schedule changes, gate pushes and actual clocks. Early read: no clear pattern yet. Only 2 completed legs so far: landed -11 min. Not enough to call it.

The verdict above is that record speaking, so it reflects how LO15 operates rather than what the timetable promises. Numbers refresh as new flights operate.

Technical record

How this operation is measured

board clocks

Board log

scheduled → actual, per operation
11-01WAW 16:40EWR 20:25 19:58 (−27)
10-29WAW 16:40EWR 21:25 21:24 (−1)
10-28WAW 16:40EWR 21:25 21:03 (−22)

Board clocks recorded as WAW and EWR published them.

Planning around LO15? Will a delayed flight be cancelled? · Do planes make up time in the air? · How we measure

Cite this data

Journalists, bloggers, and researchers may cite this page with attribution and a link to Pro Flight Search.

Suggested citation

Pro Flight Search: LO15 Warsaw to New York on-time performance, measured from the WAW and EWR airport boards.

Canonical URL
https://proflightsearch.com/flight/LO15
How we measure this →