JL3515Japan Airlines · FUK → CTS
live · 18m ago
Route confirmed Japan Airlines

JL3515 FukuokaFUK · 14:40 SapporoCTS · 16:55

JL3515 by Japan Airlines flies from Fukuoka (FUK) to Sapporo (CTS) for the Fri, Oct 30 departure.

Right nowLanded in Sapporo · today
16:57

arrived at CTS · 2 min late

Typical gate push+5 minmedian posted departure
Typical arrival+7 minmedian over 15 operations
Cancellation0 in 15tracked operations · cancellation odds calculator →

Where the minutes go

last 7 operations · gate push → arrival
0+30+60+90 min
10-30
+10 gate · +2 arrival
10-29
+3 gate · −2 arrival
10-28
+9 gate · +0 arrival
10-27
+19 gate · +18 arrival
10-26
+6 gate · +8 arrival
10-25
+11 gate · +17 arrival
10-24
+6 gate · +7 arrival

The bar is how late it left the gate; the ring is where it actually arrived. Board clocks, not estimates.

The last 30 days

arrival outcome per operation

median arrival +7 min · 0 cancelled · 15 operations tracked

The route today

live boards
FUKFukuokaOn-time likelyFUK delay board →
CTSSapporoOn-time likelyCTS delay board →
FUK→CTSevery carrier, schedules and on-time historyRoute intelligence →

Weather lens

Delay & cancellation outlook for this flight

Measured, 90-day sample
27%Chance of 15+ min delay
3.4%Chance of cancellation
+4 minTypical airport delay in this weather

Conditions at FUK and CTS are near their clear-air norm right now, so this reflects the route's recent baseline rather than a weather penalty. These figures come from both airports' records under conditions like today's, over the last 90 days.

Pro Flight Search tracking, 90 days · the weather × delay correlation study → · live weather risk by airport →

Tomorrow on this route

Forecast

Fukuoka to Sapporo with Japan Airlines · Sat 31 Oct, local date

Outlook: about usual
Chance a departure is cancelled
0.5%0.9× usual
Chance a departure leaves 60+ min late
1.1%0.6× usual

Forecast weather: 82% chance of rain at Sapporo

Forecast: WeatherTomorrow · incl. data from ECMWF (CC BY 4.0, modified) · About 2 departures a day on this route with this airline. · Expected values for tomorrow from a forecast model, kept apart from today's measured figures.

When it flies

scheduled departures
061422
M
T
W
T
F
S
S

Each mark is a scheduled departure at its origin-local time. Today is highlighted.

Other Fukuoka to Sapporo flights today

same route · Japan Airlines
JL3513departs 11:45
JL3317departs 15:00

If JL3515 is cancelled, these are the other Japan Airlines nonstop flights from Fukuoka to Sapporo on the same day, with scheduled departure times in FUK local time. Most flights that show a delay still operate. Rebooking usually helps only when that delay is very large. Every airline on this route →

How JL3515 actually runs

Pro Flight Search has tracked every published board update for JL3515 across the FUK and CTS boards: schedule changes, gate pushes and actual clocks. Usually lands ~8 min late. Based on 14 confirmed landings · 12/14 within 15 min of schedule.

The verdict above is that record speaking, so it reflects how JL3515 operates rather than what the timetable promises. Numbers refresh as new flights operate.

Technical record

How this operation is measured

board clocks

Board log

scheduled → actual, per operation
10-30FUK 14:40 14:50 (+10)CTS 16:55 16:57 (+2)
10-29FUK 14:40 14:43 (+3)CTS 16:55 16:53 (−2)
10-28FUK 14:40 14:49 (+9)CTS 16:55 (+0)
10-27FUK 14:40 14:59 (+19)CTS 16:55 17:13 (+18)
10-26FUK 14:40 14:46 (+6)CTS 16:55 17:03 (+8)
10-25FUK 14:40 14:51 (+11)CTS 16:55 17:12 (+17)
10-24FUK 14:15 14:21 (+6)CTS 16:30 16:37 (+7)
10-23FUK 14:15 14:18 (+3)CTS 16:30 16:38 (+8)
10-22FUK 14:15 14:20 (+5)CTS 16:30 16:28 (−2)
10-21FUK 14:15 14:19 (+4)CTS 16:30 16:42 (+12)
10-20FUK 14:15 14:24 (+9)CTS 16:30 16:39 (+9)
10-19FUK 14:15 14:13 (−2)CTS 16:30 16:33 (+3)
10-18FUK 14:15 14:13 (−2)CTS 16:30 16:37 (+7)
10-17FUK 14:15 14:19 (+4)CTS 16:30 16:40 (+10)
10-16FUK 14:15 14:14 (−1)CTS 16:30 16:26 (−4)

Board clocks recorded as FUK and CTS published them.

Cite this data

Journalists, bloggers, and researchers may cite this page with attribution and a link to Pro Flight Search.

Suggested citation

Pro Flight Search: JL3515 Fukuoka to Sapporo on-time performance, measured from the FUK and CTS airport boards.

Canonical URL
https://proflightsearch.com/flight/JL3515
How we measure this →