JL2810Japan Airlines · AOJ → CTS
live · 14m ago
Route confirmed Japan Airlines

JL2810 AomoriAOJ · 20:20 SapporoCTS · 21:05

JL2810 by Japan Airlines flies from Aomori (AOJ) to Sapporo (CTS) for the Fri, Nov 13 departure.

Right nowEn route to Sapporo · off blocks 20:20 · on schedule
En route

en route from AOJ to CTS

En routeJL2810 · position estimated
AOJAomoriCTSSapporo
Estimated from the boards

Board estimate · gate and arrival times. Off blocks 20:20.

⚖ JL2810 typically leaves +0 and lands −7. The air wins minutes back.
Typical gate push+0 minmedian posted departure
Typical arrival−7 minmedian over 16 operations
Wins back in air~7 minmedian gate push vs arrival · how planes make up time → Cancellation0 in 16tracked operations · cancellation odds calculator →

Where the minutes go

last 7 operations · gate push → arrival
0+30+60+90 min
11-14
+0 gate · +20 arrival
11-13
+0 gate · −6 arrival
11-12
+10 gate · +9 arrival
11-11
+0 gate · −7 arrival
11-10
+0 gate · −12 arrival
11-09
+0 gate · −1 arrival
11-08
+0 gate · −3 arrival

The bar is how late it left the gate; the ring is where it actually arrived. Board clocks, not estimates.

The last 30 days

arrival outcome per operation

median arrival −7 min · 0 cancelled · 16 operations tracked

The route today

live boards
AOJAomoriOn-time likelyAOJ delay board →
CTSSapporoOn-time likelyCTS delay board →
AOJ→CTSevery carrier, schedules and on-time historyRoute intelligence →

Weather lens

Delay & cancellation outlook for this flight

Measured, 90-day sample
21%Chance of 15+ min delay
1.0%Chance of cancellation
+3 minTypical airport delay in this weather

Conditions at AOJ and CTS are near their clear-air norm right now, so this reflects the route's recent baseline rather than a weather penalty. These figures come from both airports' records under conditions like today's, over the last 90 days.

Pro Flight Search tracking, 90 days · the weather × delay correlation study → · live weather risk by airport →

Tomorrow at Aomori

Forecast

Sun 15 Nov, local date

High11°Clikely 8°C to 13°C
Low5°Clikely 2°C to 7°C
  • 32% chance of fog
  • 85% chance of rain

Forecast: GateWeather · incl. data from ECMWF (CC BY 4.0, modified) · Expected values for tomorrow from a forecast model, kept apart from today's measured figures.

Tomorrow at Sapporo

Forecast

Sun 15 Nov, local date

High9°Clikely 6°C to 11°C
Low−1°Clikely −3°C to 2°C

Forecast: GateWeather · incl. data from ECMWF (CC BY 4.0, modified) · Expected values for tomorrow from a forecast model, kept apart from today's measured figures.

When it flies

scheduled departures
061422
M
T
W
T
F
S
S

Each mark is a scheduled departure at its origin-local time. Today is highlighted.

Other Aomori to Sapporo flights today

same route · Japan Airlines
JL2804departs 11:35
JL2806departs 15:25

If JL2810 is cancelled, these are the other Japan Airlines nonstop flights from Aomori to Sapporo on the same day, with scheduled departure times in AOJ local time. Most flights that show a delay still operate. Rebooking usually helps only when that delay is very large. Every airline on this route →

How JL2810 actually runs

Pro Flight Search has tracked every published board update for JL2810 across the AOJ and CTS boards: schedule changes, gate pushes and actual clocks. Usually lands ~6 min early. Based on 14 confirmed landings · 12/14 within 15 min of schedule.

The verdict above is that record speaking, so it reflects how JL2810 operates rather than what the timetable promises. Numbers refresh as new flights operate.

Technical record

How this operation is measured

board clocks

Board log

scheduled → actual, per operation
11-14AOJ 20:20 (+0)CTS 21:05 21:25 (+20)
11-13AOJ 20:20 (+0)CTS 21:05 20:59 (−6)
11-12AOJ 20:20 20:30 (+10)CTS 21:05 21:14 (+9)
11-11AOJ 20:20 (+0)CTS 21:05 20:58 (−7)
11-10AOJ 20:20 (+0)CTS 21:05 20:53 (−12)
11-09AOJ 20:20 (+0)CTS 21:05 21:04 (−1)
11-08AOJ 20:20 (+0)CTS 21:05 21:02 (−3)
11-07AOJ 20:20 20:25 (+5)CTS 21:05 21:25 (+20)
11-06AOJ 20:20 (+0)CTS 21:05 21:01 (−4)
11-05AOJ 20:20 (+0)CTS 21:05 20:57 (−8)
11-04AOJ 20:20 (+0)CTS 21:05 20:58 (−7)
11-03AOJ 20:20 (+0)CTS 21:05 20:57 (−8)
11-02AOJ 20:20 (+0)CTS 21:05 20:51 (−14)
11-01AOJ 20:20 (+0)CTS 21:05 20:57 (−8)
10-31AOJ 20:20 (+0)CTS 21:05 20:56 (−9)
10-30AOJ 20:20 (+0)CTS 21:05 20:57 (−8)

Board clocks recorded as AOJ and CTS published them.

Planning around JL2810? Will a delayed flight be cancelled? · Do planes make up time in the air? · How we measure

Cite this data

Journalists, bloggers, and researchers may cite this page with attribution and a link to Pro Flight Search.

Suggested citation

Pro Flight Search: JL2810 Aomori to Sapporo on-time performance, measured from the AOJ and CTS airport boards.

Canonical URL
https://proflightsearch.com/flight/JL2810
How we measure this →