HD15Air Do · HND → CTS
updated 12m ago
Route confirmed Air Do

HD15 TokyoHND · 08:15 SapporoCTS · 09:45

HD15 by Air Do flies from Tokyo (HND) to Sapporo (CTS) for the Fri, Nov 13 departure.

Right nowCancelled today · HND → CTS
Cancelled

today's HND → CTS operation will not depart

Typical gate push+2 minmedian posted departure
Typical arrival−1 minmedian over 13 operations
Wins back in air~3 minmedian gate push vs arrival · how planes make up time → Cancellation3 in 16tracked operations · cancellation odds calculator →

Where the minutes go

last 7 operations · gate push → arrival
0+30+60+90 min
11-13
CANCELLED
11-12
CANCELLED
11-11
CANCELLED
11-10
+5 gate · +1 arrival
11-09
+4 gate · −7 arrival
11-08
+6 gate · +15 arrival
11-07
−4 gate · −4 arrival

The bar is how late it left the gate; the ring is where it actually arrived. Board clocks, not estimates.

The last 30 days

arrival outcome per operation

median arrival −1 min · 3 cancelled · 16 operations tracked

The route today

live boards
HNDTokyoOn-time likelyHND delay board →
CTSSapporoHigh riskCTS delay board →
HND→CTSevery carrier, schedules and on-time historyRoute intelligence →

Weather lens

Delay & cancellation outlook for this flight

Measured, 90-day sample
33%Chance of 15+ min delay
2.3%Chance of cancellation
+7 minTypical airport delay in this weather

Conditions at HND and CTS are near their clear-air norm right now, so this reflects the route's recent baseline rather than a weather penalty. These figures come from both airports' records under conditions like today's, over the last 90 days.

Pro Flight Search tracking, 90 days · the weather × delay correlation study → · live weather risk by airport →

Tomorrow at Tokyo

Forecast

Sat 14 Nov, local date

High20°Clikely 18°C to 21°C
Low13°Clikely 11°C to 14°C

Forecast: GateWeather · incl. data from ECMWF (CC BY 4.0, modified) · Expected values for tomorrow from a forecast model, kept apart from today's measured figures.

Tomorrow at Sapporo

Forecast

Sat 14 Nov, local date

High12°Clikely 9°C to 14°C
Low1°Clikely −1°C to 4°C
  • 31% chance of fog

Forecast: GateWeather · incl. data from ECMWF (CC BY 4.0, modified) · Expected values for tomorrow from a forecast model, kept apart from today's measured figures.

When it flies

scheduled departures
061422
M
T
W
T
F
S
S

Each mark is a scheduled departure at its origin-local time. Today is highlighted.

Other Tokyo to Sapporo flights today

same route · Air Do
HD139departs 06:20
HD11departs 06:50
HD19departs 10:15
HD21departs 11:15
HD23departs 12:50
HD41departs 12:50

If HD15 is cancelled, these are the other Air Do nonstop flights from Tokyo to Sapporo on the same day, with scheduled departure times in HND local time. Most flights that show a delay still operate. Rebooking usually helps only when that delay is very large. Every airline on this route →

How HD15 actually runs

Pro Flight Search has tracked every published board update for HD15 across the HND and CTS boards: schedule changes, gate pushes and actual clocks. Usually lands on time. Based on 11 confirmed landings · 11/11 within 15 min of schedule.

The verdict above is that record speaking, so it reflects how HD15 operates rather than what the timetable promises. Numbers refresh as new flights operate.

Technical record

How this operation is measured

board clocks

Board log

scheduled → actual, per operation
11-13CANCELLED
11-12CANCELLED
11-11CANCELLED
11-10HND 08:15 08:20 (+5)CTS 09:45 09:46 (+1)
11-09HND 08:15 08:19 (+4)CTS 09:45 09:38 (−7)
11-08HND 08:15 08:21 (+6)CTS 09:45 10:00 (+15)
11-07HND 08:15 08:11 (−4)CTS 09:45 09:41 (−4)
11-06HND 08:15 08:18 (+3)CTS 09:45 09:42 (−3)
11-05HND 08:15 08:17 (+2)CTS 09:45 09:44 (−1)
11-04HND 08:15 08:17 (+2)CTS 09:45 09:40 (−5)
11-03HND 08:15 08:16 (+1)CTS 09:45 09:39 (−6)
11-02HND 08:15 08:21 (+6)CTS 09:45 09:47 (+2)
11-01HND 08:15 08:22 (+7)CTS 09:45 09:51 (+6)
10-31HND 08:15 08:17 (+2)CTS 09:45 09:51 (+6)
10-30HND 08:15 08:14 (−1)CTS 09:45 09:44 (−1)
10-29HND 08:15 (+0)CTS 09:45 09:48 (+3)

Board clocks recorded as HND and CTS published them.

Planning around HD15? Will a delayed flight be cancelled? · Do planes make up time in the air? · How we measure

Cite this data

Journalists, bloggers, and researchers may cite this page with attribution and a link to Pro Flight Search.

Suggested citation

Pro Flight Search: HD15 Tokyo to Sapporo on-time performance, measured from the HND and CTS airport boards.

Canonical URL
https://proflightsearch.com/flight/HD15
How we measure this →