CA857Air China · PVG → KIX
live · 52m ago
Route confirmed Air China

CA857 ShanghaiPVG · 11:30 OsakaKIX · 15:00

CA857 by Air China flies from Shanghai (PVG) to Osaka (KIX) for the Thu, Oct 29 departure.

Right nowScheduled · today · as of 07:11
11:30

departs PVG · on schedule

Typical gate push+23 minmedian posted departure
Typical arrival−24 minmedian over 7 operations
Wins back in air~47 minmedian gate push vs arrival · how planes make up time →

Where the minutes go

last 7 operations · gate push → arrival
0+49+99+148 min
10-28
+23 gate · −24 arrival
10-27
+2 gate · −27 arrival
10-26
+14 gate · −27 arrival
10-25
+28 gate · −14 arrival
10-24
+148 gate · +100 arrival
10-23
+30 gate · −17 arrival
10-22
+18 gate · −29 arrival

The bar is how late it left the gate; the ring is where it actually arrived. Board clocks, not estimates.

The last 30 days

arrival outcome per operation

median arrival −24 min · 0 cancelled · 7 operations tracked

The route today

live boards
PVGShanghaiModerate riskPVG delay board →
KIXOsakaHigh riskKIX delay board →
PVG→KIXevery carrier, schedules and on-time historyRoute intelligence →

Weather lens

Delay & cancellation outlook for this flight

Measured, 90-day sample
28%Chance of 15+ min delay
0.8%Chance of cancellation
+2 minAvg hub delay right now

Conditions at PVG and KIX are near their clear-air norm right now, so this reflects the route's recent baseline rather than a weather penalty. For this route and airline, under conditions like today's, over the last 90 days.

Pro Flight Search tracking, 90 days · the weather × delay correlation study → · live weather risk by airport →

Tomorrow on this route

Forecast

Shanghai to Osaka with Air China · Fri 30 Oct, local date

Outlook: elevated
Chance a departure leaves 60+ min late
8.9%1.3× usual

Forecast weather: 87% chance of rain at Osaka

No cancellation outlook here: this airport's board does not publish cancellations reliably.

Forecast: WeatherTomorrow · incl. data from ECMWF (CC BY 4.0, modified) · About 1 departures a day on this route with this airline. · Expected values for tomorrow from a forecast model, kept apart from today's measured figures.

When it flies

scheduled departures
061422
M
T
W
T
F
S
S

Each mark is a scheduled departure at its origin-local time. Today is highlighted.

How CA857 actually runs

Pro Flight Search has tracked every published board update for CA857 across the PVG and KIX boards: schedule changes, gate pushes and actual clocks. Usually lands ~24 min early. Based on 7 confirmed landings · 6/7 within 15 min of schedule. Pushes back late but makes up time in the air.

The verdict above is that record speaking, so it reflects how CA857 operates rather than what the timetable promises. Numbers refresh as new flights operate.

Technical record

How this operation is measured

board clocks

Board log

scheduled → actual, per operation
10-28PVG 11:30 11:53 (+23)KIX 15:00 14:36 (−24)
10-27PVG 11:30 11:32 (+2)KIX 15:00 14:33 (−27)
10-26PVG 11:30 11:44 (+14)KIX 15:00 14:33 (−27)
10-25PVG 11:30 11:58 (+28)KIX 15:00 14:46 (−14)
10-24PVG 11:50 14:18 (+148)KIX 15:25 17:05 (+100)
10-23PVG 11:50 12:20 (+30)KIX 15:25 15:08 (−17)
10-22PVG 11:50 12:08 (+18)KIX 15:25 14:56 (−29)

Board clocks recorded as PVG and KIX published them.

Planning around CA857? Will a delayed flight be cancelled? · Do planes make up time in the air? · How we measure

Cite this data

Journalists, bloggers, and researchers may cite this page with attribution and a link to Pro Flight Search.

Suggested citation

Pro Flight Search — CA857 Shanghai to Osaka on-time performance, measured from the PVG and KIX airport boards.

Canonical URL
https://proflightsearch.com/flight/CA857
How we measure this →