BA15British Airways · LHR → SYD
live · 3m ago
Route confirmed British Airways

BA15 LondonLHR · 21:00 SydneySYD · 06:55

BA15 by British Airways flies from London (LHR) to Sydney (SYD) for the Sun, Nov 1 departure.

Right nowDescending into Sydney
06:36

estimated arrival at SYD · local time · ~23 min from now

LivePosition · updated 3m ago
LHR50 mi · ~23 min leftSYD
14,800 ftAltitudedescending
396 mphSpeed344 kt
62°Direction

Live position · flown path, last 5h 34m

⚖ BA15 typically leaves +30 and lands −12. The air wins minutes back.
Typical gate push+30 minmedian posted departure
Typical arrival−12 minmedian over 14 operations
Wins back in air~42 minmedian gate push vs arrival · how planes make up time → Cancellation0 in 14tracked operations · cancellation odds calculator →

Where the minutes go

last 7 operations · gate push → arrival
0+30+60+90 min
10-31
+31 gate · −19 arrival
10-30
+54 gate · −27 arrival
10-29
+26 gate · +6 arrival
10-28
+17 gate · −3 arrival
10-27
+43 gate · −17 arrival
10-26
+24 gate · −36 arrival
10-25
+32 gate · −26 arrival

The bar is how late it left the gate; the ring is where it actually arrived. Board clocks, not estimates.

The last 30 days

arrival outcome per operation

median arrival −12 min · 0 cancelled · 14 operations tracked

The route today

live boards
LHRLondonHigh riskLHR delay board →
SYDSydneyHigh riskSYD delay board →
LHR→SYDevery carrier, schedules and on-time historyRoute intelligence →

Weather lens

Weather-conditioned outlook for this flight right now

Measured, 90-day sample
34%Chance of 15+ min delay
3.0%Chance of cancellation
+5 minTypical airport delay in this weather

Driven mainly by SYD (Sydney), currently flying VFR (visual). These figures come from both airports' records under conditions like today's, over the last 90 days.

Pro Flight Search tracking, 90 days · the weather × delay correlation study → · live weather risk by airport →

Tomorrow on this route

Forecast

London to Sydney with British Airways · Mon 2 Nov, local date

Outlook: about usual
Chance a departure is cancelled
1.4%0.9× usual
Chance a departure leaves 60+ min late
6.4%0.9× usual

Forecast: GateWeather · incl. data from ECMWF (CC BY 4.0, modified) · About 1 departures a day on this route with this airline. · Expected values for tomorrow from a forecast model, kept apart from today's measured figures.

When it flies

scheduled departures
061422
M
T
W
T
F
S
S

Each mark is a scheduled departure at its origin-local time. Today is highlighted.

How BA15 actually runs

Pro Flight Search has tracked every published board update for BA15 across the LHR and SYD boards: schedule changes, gate pushes and actual clocks. Usually lands ~12 min early. Based on 12 confirmed landings · 10/12 within 15 min of schedule. Pushes back late but makes up time in the air.

The verdict above is that record speaking, so it reflects how BA15 operates rather than what the timetable promises. Numbers refresh as new flights operate.

Technical record

How this operation is measured

board clocks

Board log

scheduled → actual, per operation
10-31LHR 21:00 21:31 (+31)SYD 06:55 06:36 (−19)
10-30LHR 21:00 21:54 (+54)SYD 06:55 06:28 (−27)
10-29LHR 21:00 21:26 (+26)SYD 06:55 07:01 (+6)
10-28LHR 21:00 21:17 (+17)SYD 06:55 06:52 (−3)
10-27LHR 21:00 21:43 (+43)SYD 06:55 06:38 (−17)
10-26LHR 21:00 21:24 (+24)SYD 06:55 06:19 (−36)
10-25LHR 21:00 21:32 (+32)SYD 06:55 06:29 (−26)
10-24LHR 21:45 22:37 (+52)SYD 06:55 06:17 (−38)
10-23LHR 22:00 22:26 (+26)SYD 06:45 06:24 (−21)
10-22LHR 22:00 23:48 (+108)SYD 06:45 08:15 (+90)
10-21LHR 22:00 22:31 (+31)SYD 06:45 06:44 (−1)
10-20LHR 22:00 22:22 (+22)SYD 06:45 07:24 (+39)
10-19LHR 22:00 22:28 (+28)SYD 06:45 06:38 (−7)
10-18LHR 22:00 22:18 (+18)SYD 06:45 06:57 (+12)

Board clocks recorded as LHR and SYD published them.

Planning around BA15? Will a delayed flight be cancelled? · Do planes make up time in the air? · How we measure

Cite this data

Journalists, bloggers, and researchers may cite this page with attribution and a link to Pro Flight Search.

Suggested citation

Pro Flight Search: BA15 London to Sydney on-time performance, measured from the LHR and SYD airport boards.

Canonical URL
https://proflightsearch.com/flight/BA15
How we measure this →