AV51Avianca · BOG → LIM
live · 30m ago
Route confirmed Avianca

AV51 BogotaBOG · 18:55 LimaLIM · 22:05

AV51 by Avianca flies from Bogota (BOG) to Lima (LIM) for the Fri, Oct 30 departure.

Right nowLanded in Lima · today
21:43

arrived at LIM · 22 min early

⚖ AV51 typically leaves −2 and lands −21. The air wins minutes back.
Typical gate push−2 minmedian posted departure
Typical arrival−21 minmedian over 9 operations
Wins back in air~19 minmedian gate push vs arrival · how planes make up time → Cancellation0 in 10tracked operations · cancellation odds calculator →

Where the minutes go

last 7 operations · gate push → arrival
0+30+60+90 min
10-30
−3 gate · −22 arrival
10-29
−1 gate · −16 arrival
10-28
+20 gate · +10 arrival
10-27
−7 gate · −26 arrival
10-26
−2 gate · −34 arrival
10-25
+0 gate · −21 arrival
10-24
−4 gate · −38 arrival

The bar is how late it left the gate; the ring is where it actually arrived. Board clocks, not estimates.

The last 30 days

arrival outcome per operation

median arrival −21 min · 0 cancelled · 10 operations tracked

The route today

live boards
BOGBogotaOn-time likelyBOG delay board →
LIMLimaOn-time likelyLIM delay board →
BOG→LIMevery carrier, schedules and on-time historyRoute intelligence →

Weather lens

Weather-conditioned outlook for this flight right now

Measured, 90-day sample
23%Chance of 15+ min delay
3.9%Chance of cancellation
-2 minTypical airport delay in this weather

Driven mainly by LIM (Lima), currently flying MVFR (marginal visual). These figures come from both airports' records under conditions like today's, over the last 90 days.

Pro Flight Search tracking, 90 days · the weather × delay correlation study → · live weather risk by airport →

Tomorrow on this route

Forecast

Bogota to Lima with Avianca · Sat 31 Oct, local date

Outlook: about usual
Chance a departure is cancelled
0.3%11.3× usual
Chance a departure leaves 60+ min late
2.4%1.5× usual

Forecast weather: 34% chance of thunder and 80% chance of rain at Bogota

Forecast: WeatherTomorrow · incl. data from ECMWF (CC BY 4.0, modified) · About 5 departures a day on this route with this airline. · Expected values for tomorrow from a forecast model, kept apart from today's measured figures.

When it flies

scheduled departures
061422
M
T
W
T
F
S
S

Each mark is a scheduled departure at its origin-local time. Today is highlighted.

Other Bogota to Lima flights today

same route · Avianca
AV49departs 07:25
AV53departs 13:30
AV103departs 21:40
AV75departs 22:40

If AV51 is cancelled, these are the other Avianca nonstop flights from Bogota to Lima on the same day, with scheduled departure times in BOG local time. Most flights that show a delay still operate. Rebooking usually helps only when that delay is very large. Every airline on this route →

How AV51 actually runs

Pro Flight Search has tracked every published board update for AV51 across the BOG and LIM boards: schedule changes, gate pushes and actual clocks. Usually lands ~21 min early. Based on 9 confirmed landings · 9/9 within 15 min of schedule. Pushes back late but makes up time in the air.

The verdict above is that record speaking, so it reflects how AV51 operates rather than what the timetable promises. Numbers refresh as new flights operate.

Technical record

How this operation is measured

board clocksaircraft

Board log

scheduled → actual, per operation
10-30BOG 18:55 18:52 (−3)LIM 22:05 21:43 (−22)
10-29BOG 18:55 18:54 (−1)LIM 22:05 21:49 (−16)
10-28BOG 18:55 19:15 (+20)LIM 22:05 22:15 (+10)
10-27BOG 18:55 18:48 (−7)LIM 22:05 21:39 (−26)
10-26BOG 18:55 18:53 (−2)LIM 22:05 21:31 (−34)
10-25BOG 18:55 (+0)LIM 22:05 21:44 (−21)
10-24BOG 18:35 18:31 (−4)LIM 21:55 21:17 (−38)
10-23BOG 17:45 17:46 (+1)LIM 20:50 20:36 (−14)
10-22BOG 17:45 17:43 (−2)LIM 20:50 20:49 (−1)
10-21BOG 17:45 17:36 (−9)LIM 20:50

Aircraft

Recent tails: HK-5424.

Board clocks recorded as BOG and LIM published them.

Planning around AV51? Will a delayed flight be cancelled? · Do planes make up time in the air? · How we measure

Cite this data

Journalists, bloggers, and researchers may cite this page with attribution and a link to Pro Flight Search.

Suggested citation

Pro Flight Search: AV51 Bogota to Lima on-time performance, measured from the BOG and LIM airport boards.

Canonical URL
https://proflightsearch.com/flight/AV51
How we measure this →