AV245Avianca · JFK → BOG
live · 26m ago
Route confirmed Avianca

AV245 New YorkJFK · 01:15 BogotaBOG · 06:05

AV245 by Avianca flies from New York (JFK) to Bogota (BOG) for the Thu, Oct 29 departure.

Right nowEn route to Bogota · off blocks 01:13 · 2 min early
06:02

estimated arrival at BOG · local time · ~2h 01m from now

En routeAV245 · position estimated
JFKNew YorkBOGBogota
Estimated from the boardsarr 06:02

Board estimate · gate and arrival times. Off blocks 01:13 · typical taxi-out at JFK ≈ 7.6 min. No receiver coverage over open ocean.

⚖ AV245 typically leaves +19 and lands −39. The air wins minutes back.
Typical gate push+19 minmedian posted departure
Typical arrival−39 minmedian over 15 operations
Wins back in air~58 minmedian gate push vs arrival · how planes make up time → Cancellation0 in 15tracked operations · cancellation odds calculator →

Where the minutes go

last 7 operations · gate push → arrival
0+30+60+90 min
10-29
−2 gate · −3 arrival
10-28
−3 gate · −29 arrival
10-27
+33 gate · −21 arrival
10-26
+19 gate · −20 arrival
10-25
+8 gate · −50 arrival
10-24
+26 gate · −35 arrival
10-23
−10 gate · +30 arrival

The bar is how late it left the gate; the ring is where it actually arrived. Board clocks, not estimates.

The last 30 days

arrival outcome per operation

median arrival −39 min · 0 cancelled · 15 operations tracked

The route today

live boards
JFKNew YorkOn-time likelyJFK delay board →
BOGBogotaOn-time likelyBOG delay board →
JFK→BOGevery carrier, schedules and on-time historyRoute intelligence →

Weather lens

Delay & cancellation outlook for this flight

Measured, 90-day sample
31%Chance of 15+ min delay
3.5%Chance of cancellation
+3 minTypical airport delay in this weather

Conditions at JFK and BOG are near their clear-air norm right now, so this reflects the route's recent baseline rather than a weather penalty. These figures come from both airports' records under conditions like today's, over the last 90 days.

Pro Flight Search tracking, 90 days · the weather × delay correlation study → · live weather risk by airport →

Tomorrow on this route

Forecast

New York to Bogota with Avianca · Fri 30 Oct, local date

Outlook: about usual
Chance a departure is cancelled
0.8%1.0× usual
Chance a departure leaves 60+ min late
5.8%1.0× usual

Forecast weather: 41% chance of thunder and 91% chance of rain at Bogota

Forecast: WeatherTomorrow · incl. data from ECMWF (CC BY 4.0, modified) · About 3 departures a day on this route with this airline. · Expected values for tomorrow from a forecast model, kept apart from today's measured figures.

When it flies

scheduled departures
061422
M
T
W
T
F
S
S

Each mark is a scheduled departure at its origin-local time. Today is highlighted.

Other New York to Bogota flights today

same route · Avianca
AV21departs 07:35
AV211departs 15:35

If AV245 is cancelled, these are the other Avianca nonstop flights from New York to Bogota on the same day, with scheduled departure times in JFK local time. Most flights that show a delay still operate. Rebooking usually helps only when that delay is very large. Every airline on this route →

How AV245 actually runs

Pro Flight Search has tracked every published board update for AV245 across the JFK and BOG boards: schedule changes, gate pushes and actual clocks. Usually lands ~21 min early. Based on 13 confirmed landings · 10/13 within 15 min of schedule. Pushes back late but makes up time in the air.

The verdict above is that record speaking, so it reflects how AV245 operates rather than what the timetable promises. Numbers refresh as new flights operate.

Technical record

How this operation is measured

board clocksaircraft

Board log

scheduled → actual, per operation
10-29JFK 01:15 01:13 (−2)BOG 06:05 06:02 (−3)
10-28JFK 01:15 01:12 (−3)BOG 06:05 05:36 (−29)
10-27JFK 01:15 01:48 (+33)BOG 06:05 05:44 (−21)
10-26JFK 01:15 01:34 (+19)BOG 06:05 05:45 (−20)
10-25JFK 01:15 01:23 (+8)BOG 06:05 05:15 (−50)
10-24JFK 01:30 01:56 (+26)BOG 06:15 05:40 (−35)
10-23JFK 01:30 01:20 (−10)BOG 06:15 06:45 (+30)
10-22JFK 01:30 02:31 (+61)BOG 06:15 05:33 (−42)
10-21JFK 01:30 01:29 (−1)BOG 06:15 05:29 (−46)
10-20JFK 01:30 01:45 (+15)BOG 06:15 05:31 (−44)
10-19JFK 01:30 02:25 (+55)BOG 06:15 05:36 (−39)
10-18JFK 01:30 03:27 (+117)BOG 06:15 05:37 (−38)
10-17JFK 01:30 01:26 (−4)BOG 06:15 05:32 (−43)
10-16JFK 01:30 01:57 (+27)BOG 06:15 05:31 (−44)
10-15JFK 01:30 01:49 (+19)BOG 06:15 05:25 (−50)

Aircraft

Recent tails: EC-NBN, N785AV, N792AV, N796AV.

Board clocks recorded as JFK and BOG published them.

Planning around AV245? Will a delayed flight be cancelled? · Do planes make up time in the air? · How we measure

Cite this data

Journalists, bloggers, and researchers may cite this page with attribution and a link to Pro Flight Search.

Suggested citation

Pro Flight Search: AV245 New York to Bogota on-time performance, measured from the JFK and BOG airport boards.

Canonical URL
https://proflightsearch.com/flight/AV245
How we measure this →