AF281Air France · HND → CDG
live · 4m ago
Route confirmed Air France

AF281 TokyoHND · 08:50 ParisCDG · 15:15

AF281 by Air France flies from Tokyo (HND) to Paris (CDG) for the Sun, Nov 15 departure.

Right nowDescending into Paris · off blocks 09:11 · 21 min late
15:11

estimated arrival at CDG · local time · ~11 min from now

LivePosition · updated 4m ago
CDG27 mi · ~11 min leftHND
6,700 ftAltitudedescending
229 mphSpeed199 kt
243°Direction

Live position · flown path, last 1h 34m

⚖ AF281 typically leaves +5 and lands −20. The air wins minutes back.
Typical gate push+5 minmedian posted departure
Typical arrival−20 minmedian over 13 operations
Wins back in air~25 minmedian gate push vs arrival · how planes make up time → Cancellation0 in 14tracked operations · cancellation odds calculator →

Where the minutes go

last 7 operations · gate push → arrival
0+62+125+187 min
11-15
+21 gate · −20 arrival
11-14
+103 gate · +187 arrival
11-13
−6 gate · −49 arrival
11-12
−5 gate · −43 arrival
11-11
+5 gate · +0 arrival
11-10
+14 gate
11-09
+3 gate · +0 arrival

The bar is how late it left the gate; the ring is where it actually arrived. Board clocks, not estimates.

The last 30 days

arrival outcome per operation

median arrival −20 min · 0 cancelled · 14 operations tracked

The route today

live boards
HNDTokyoOn-time likelyHND delay board →
CDGParisOn-time likelyCDG delay board →
HND→CDGevery carrier, schedules and on-time historyRoute intelligence →

Weather lens

Weather-conditioned outlook for this flight right now

Measured, 90-day sample
39%Chance of 15+ min delay
2.6%Chance of cancellation
+7 minTypical airport delay in this weather

Driven mainly by CDG (Paris), currently flying MVFR (marginal visual). These figures come from both airports' records under conditions like today's, over the last 90 days.

Pro Flight Search tracking, 90 days · the weather × delay correlation study → · live weather risk by airport →

Tomorrow at Tokyo

Forecast

Mon 16 Nov, local date

High19°Clikely 18°C to 20°C
Low13°Clikely 12°C to 15°C

Forecast: GateWeather · incl. data from ECMWF (CC BY 4.0, modified) · Expected values for tomorrow from a forecast model, kept apart from today's measured figures.

Tomorrow at Paris

Forecast

Mon 16 Nov, local date

High11°Clikely 10°C to 13°C
Low9°Clikely 6°C to 11°C
  • 97% chance of rain

Forecast: GateWeather · incl. data from ECMWF (CC BY 4.0, modified) · Expected values for tomorrow from a forecast model, kept apart from today's measured figures.

When it flies

scheduled departures
061422
M
T
W
T
F
S
S

Each mark is a scheduled departure at its origin-local time. Today is highlighted.

Other Tokyo to Paris flights today

same route · Air France
AF293departs 00:05
AF187departs 08:50
AF287departs 11:45
AF163departs 13:20
AF279departs 22:55

If AF281 is cancelled, these are the other Air France nonstop flights from Tokyo to Paris on the same day, with scheduled departure times in HND local time. Most flights that show a delay still operate. Rebooking usually helps only when that delay is very large. Every airline on this route →

How AF281 actually runs

Pro Flight Search has tracked every published board update for AF281 across the HND and CDG boards: schedule changes, gate pushes and actual clocks. Usually lands ~17 min early. Based on 8 confirmed landings · 7/8 within 15 min of schedule. Pushes back late but makes up time in the air.

The verdict above is that record speaking, so it reflects how AF281 operates rather than what the timetable promises. Numbers refresh as new flights operate.

Technical record

How this operation is measured

board clocksaircraft

Board log

scheduled → actual, per operation
11-15HND 08:50 09:11 (+21)CDG 15:15 14:55 (−20)
11-14HND 08:50 10:33 (+103)CDG 15:15 18:22 (+187)
11-13HND 08:50 08:44 (−6)CDG 15:15 14:26 (−49)
11-12HND 08:50 08:45 (−5)CDG 15:15 14:32 (−43)
11-11HND 08:50 08:55 (+5)CDG 14:36 (+0)
11-10HND 08:50 09:04 (+14)CDG
11-09HND 08:50 08:53 (+3)CDG 14:46 (+0)
11-08HND 08:50 09:07 (+17)CDG 15:15 14:55 (−20)
11-07HND 08:50 (+0)CDG 15:15 14:43 (−32)
11-06HND 08:50 08:53 (+3)CDG 15:15 15:00 (−15)
11-05HND 08:50 08:56 (+6)CDG 15:15 15:00 (−15)
11-04HND 08:50 08:55 (+5)CDG 15:15 15:02 (−13)
11-03HND 08:50 09:04 (+14)CDG 15:15 14:48 (−27)
11-01HND 08:50 08:46 (−4)CDG 15:15 14:31 (−44)

Aircraft

Recent tails: F-HUVB, F-HUVH, F-HUVO, F-HUVC.

Board clocks recorded as HND and CDG published them.

Planning around AF281? Will a delayed flight be cancelled? · Do planes make up time in the air? · How we measure

Cite this data

Journalists, bloggers, and researchers may cite this page with attribution and a link to Pro Flight Search.

Suggested citation

Pro Flight Search: AF281 Tokyo to Paris on-time performance, measured from the HND and CDG airport boards.

Canonical URL
https://proflightsearch.com/flight/AF281
How we measure this →