AA4781 WashingtonDCA · 14:50 New YorkJFK · 16:25
AA4781 by American Airlines flies from Washington (DCA) to New York (JFK) for the Sat, Oct 31 departure.
estimated arrival at JFK · local time · past this estimate · waiting on the board
board checked 40m ago · checking again in 45s
Board estimate · gate and arrival times. Off blocks 14:58 · typical taxi-out at DCA ≈ 7.7 min.
Where the minutes go
last 7 operations · gate push → arrivalThe bar is how late it left the gate; the ring is where it actually arrived. Board clocks, not estimates.
The last 30 days
arrival outcome per operationmedian arrival −19 min · 0 cancelled · 15 operations tracked
The route today
live boardsWeather lens
Delay & cancellation outlook for this flight
Measured, 90-day sampleConditions at DCA and JFK are near their clear-air norm right now, so this reflects the route's recent baseline rather than a weather penalty. These figures come from both airports' records under conditions like today's, over the last 90 days.
Pro Flight Search tracking, 90 days · the weather × delay correlation study → · live weather risk by airport →
Tomorrow on this route
ForecastWashington to New York with American Airlines · Sun 1 Nov, local date
- Chance a departure leaves 60+ min late
- 6.8%0.7× usual
No cancellation outlook here: this airport's board does not publish cancellations reliably.
Forecast: GateWeather · incl. data from ECMWF (CC BY 4.0, modified) · About 3 departures a day on this route with this airline. · Expected values for tomorrow from a forecast model, kept apart from today's measured figures.
When it flies
scheduled departuresEach mark is a scheduled departure at its origin-local time. Today is highlighted.
Other Washington to New York flights today
same route · American AirlinesIf AA4781 is cancelled, these are the other American Airlines nonstop flights from Washington to New York on the same day, with scheduled departure times in DCA local time. Most flights that show a delay still operate. Rebooking usually helps only when that delay is very large. Every airline on this route →
How AA4781 actually runs
Pro Flight Search has tracked every published board update for AA4781 across the DCA and JFK boards: schedule changes, gate pushes and actual clocks. Usually lands ~19 min early. Based on 13 confirmed landings · 13/13 within 15 min of schedule. Pushes back late but makes up time in the air.
The verdict above is that record speaking, so it reflects how AA4781 operates rather than what the timetable promises. Numbers refresh as new flights operate.
How this operation is measured
Board log
scheduled → actual, per operationAircraft
Recent tails: N412YX, N411YX, N407YX, N101HQ.
Board clocks recorded as DCA and JFK published them.
Planning around AA4781? Will a delayed flight be cancelled? · Do planes make up time in the air? · How we measure
Journalists, bloggers, and researchers may cite this page with attribution and a link to Pro Flight Search.
Pro Flight Search: AA4781 Washington to New York on-time performance, measured from the DCA and JFK airport boards.
https://proflightsearch.com/flight/AA4781
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