AA4686American Airlines · RDU → JFK
live · 32m ago
Route confirmed American Airlines

AA4686 Raleigh/DurhamRDU · 13:57 New YorkJFK · 15:59

AA4686 by American Airlines flies from Raleigh/Durham (RDU) to New York (JFK).

Right nowNext departure tomorrow Operates daily
11:10

scheduled from RDU

Typical gate push+20 minmedian posted departure
Typical arrival−27 minmedian over 7 operations
Wins back in air~47 minmedian gate push vs arrival · how planes make up time →

Where the minutes go

last 7 operations · gate push → arrival
0+32+65+97 min
11-01
+97 gate · −44 arrival
10-31
+7 gate · −44 arrival
10-30
+19 gate · −26 arrival
10-29
+10 gate · −39 arrival
10-28
+20 gate · −23 arrival
10-27
+23 gate · −21 arrival
10-26
+13 gate · −27 arrival

The bar is how late it left the gate; the ring is where it actually arrived. Board clocks, not estimates.

The last 30 days

arrival outcome per operation

median arrival −27 min · 0 cancelled · 8 operations tracked

The route today

live boards
RDURaleigh/DurhamOn-time likelyRDU delay board →
JFKNew YorkOn-time likelyJFK delay board →
RDU→JFKevery carrier, schedules and on-time historyRoute intelligence →

Weather lens

Delay & cancellation outlook for this flight

Measured, 90-day sample
37%Chance of 15+ min delay
2.8%Chance of cancellation
+5 minTypical airport delay in this weather

Conditions at RDU and JFK are near their clear-air norm right now, so this reflects the route's recent baseline rather than a weather penalty. These figures come from both airports' records under conditions like today's, over the last 90 days.

Pro Flight Search tracking, 90 days · the weather × delay correlation study → · live weather risk by airport →

Tomorrow on this route

Forecast

Raleigh/Durham to New York with American Airlines · Mon 2 Nov, local date

Outlook: about usual
Chance a departure leaves 60+ min late
7.6%0.6× usual

No cancellation outlook here: this airport's board does not publish cancellations reliably.

Forecast: GateWeather · incl. data from ECMWF (CC BY 4.0, modified) · About 2 departures a day on this route with this airline. · Expected values for tomorrow from a forecast model, kept apart from today's measured figures.

When it flies

scheduled departures
061422
M
T
W
T
F
S
S

Each mark is a scheduled departure at its origin-local time. Today is highlighted.

Other Raleigh/Durham to New York flights today

same route · American Airlines
AA4510departs 05:41
AA4805departs 06:00
AA4765departs 11:08
AA4690departs 18:05

If AA4686 is cancelled, these are the other American Airlines nonstop flights from Raleigh/Durham to New York on the same day, with scheduled departure times in RDU local time. Most flights that show a delay still operate. Rebooking usually helps only when that delay is very large. Every airline on this route →

How AA4686 actually runs

Pro Flight Search has tracked every published board update for AA4686 across the RDU and JFK boards: schedule changes, gate pushes and actual clocks. Usually lands ~27 min early. Based on 7 confirmed landings · 7/7 within 15 min of schedule. Pushes back late but makes up time in the air.

The verdict above is that record speaking, so it reflects how AA4686 operates rather than what the timetable promises. Numbers refresh as new flights operate.

Technical record

How this operation is measured

board clocksaircraft

Board log

scheduled → actual, per operation
11-01RDU 13:57 15:34 (+97)JFK 15:59 15:15 (−44)
10-31RDU 13:57 14:04 (+7)JFK 15:59 15:15 (−44)
10-30RDU 13:57 14:16 (+19)JFK 15:59 15:33 (−26)
10-29RDU 13:58 14:08 (+10)JFK 16:00 15:21 (−39)
10-28RDU 13:57 14:17 (+20)JFK 15:59 15:36 (−23)
10-27RDU 13:58 14:21 (+23)JFK 16:00 15:39 (−21)
10-26RDU 13:57 14:10 (+13)JFK 15:59 15:32 (−27)
10-25RDU 13:57 15:34 (+97)JFK

Aircraft

Recent tails: N123HQ, N112HQ, N125HQ, N119HQ.

Board clocks recorded as RDU and JFK published them.

Cite this data

Journalists, bloggers, and researchers may cite this page with attribution and a link to Pro Flight Search.

Suggested citation

Pro Flight Search: AA4686 Raleigh/Durham to New York on-time performance, measured from the RDU and JFK airport boards.

Canonical URL
https://proflightsearch.com/flight/AA4686
How we measure this →