AA4586American Airlines · JFK → DCA
live · 7m ago
Route confirmed American Airlines

AA4586 New YorkJFK · 08:29 WashingtonDCA · 10:02

AA4586 by American Airlines flies from New York (JFK) to Washington (DCA) for the Fri, Nov 6 departure.

Right nowEn route to Washington · off blocks 08:25 · 4 min early
En route

en route from JFK to DCA

En routeAA4586 · position estimated
JFKNew YorkDCAWashington
Estimated from the boards

Board estimate · gate and arrival times. Off blocks 08:25 · typical taxi-out at JFK ≈ 7.2 min.

⚖ AA4586 typically leaves −6 and lands −20. The air wins minutes back.
Typical gate push−6 minmedian posted departure
Typical arrival−20 minmedian over 10 operations
Wins back in air~14 minmedian gate push vs arrival · how planes make up time → Cancellation0 in 10tracked operations · cancellation odds calculator →

Where the minutes go

last 7 operations · gate push → arrival
0+30+60+90 min
11-06
−4 gate · −20 arrival
10-31
−6 gate · −25 arrival
10-30
−4 gate · −20 arrival
10-29
−5 gate · −20 arrival
10-28
+24 gate · −9 arrival
10-27
−6 gate · −11 arrival
10-26
−7 gate · +28 arrival

The bar is how late it left the gate; the ring is where it actually arrived. Board clocks, not estimates.

The last 30 days

arrival outcome per operation

median arrival −20 min · 0 cancelled · 10 operations tracked

The route today

live boards
JFKNew YorkOn-time likelyJFK delay board →
DCAWashingtonHigh riskDCA delay board →
JFK→DCAevery carrier, schedules and on-time historyRoute intelligence →

Weather lens

Weather-conditioned outlook for this flight right now

Measured, 90-day sample
47%Chance of 15+ min delay
3.4%Chance of cancellation
+13 minTypical airport delay in this weather

Driven mainly by JFK (New York), currently flying IFR (instrument). These figures come from both airports' records under conditions like today's, over the last 90 days.

Pro Flight Search tracking, 90 days · the weather × delay correlation study → · live weather risk by airport →

Tomorrow at New York

Forecast

Sat 7 Nov, local date

High16°Clikely 15°C to 18°C
Low10°Clikely 8°C to 12°C

Forecast: GateWeather · incl. data from ECMWF (CC BY 4.0, modified) · Expected values for tomorrow from a forecast model, kept apart from today's measured figures.

Tomorrow at Washington

Forecast

Sat 7 Nov, local date

High15°Clikely 14°C to 17°C
Low10°Clikely 8°C to 12°C

Forecast: GateWeather · incl. data from ECMWF (CC BY 4.0, modified) · Expected values for tomorrow from a forecast model, kept apart from today's measured figures.

When it flies

scheduled departures
061422
M
T
W
T
F
S
S

Each mark is a scheduled departure at its origin-local time. Today is highlighted.

Other New York to Washington flights today

same route · American Airlines
AA4361departs 06:30
AA4671departs 06:30
AA4640departs 08:28
AA4463departs 17:26
AA4508departs 17:29

If AA4586 is cancelled, these are the other American Airlines nonstop flights from New York to Washington on the same day, with scheduled departure times in JFK local time. Most flights that show a delay still operate. Rebooking usually helps only when that delay is very large. Every airline on this route →

How AA4586 actually runs

Pro Flight Search has tracked every published board update for AA4586 across the JFK and DCA boards: schedule changes, gate pushes and actual clocks. Usually lands ~14 min early. Based on 10 confirmed landings · 9/10 within 15 min of schedule.

The verdict above is that record speaking, so it reflects how AA4586 operates rather than what the timetable promises. Numbers refresh as new flights operate.

Technical record

How this operation is measured

board clocksaircraft

Board log

scheduled → actual, per operation
11-06JFK 08:29 08:25 (−4)DCA 10:02 09:42 (−20)
10-31JFK 08:29 08:23 (−6)DCA 10:02 09:37 (−25)
10-30JFK 08:29 08:25 (−4)DCA 10:02 09:42 (−20)
10-29JFK 08:29 08:24 (−5)DCA 10:02 09:42 (−20)
10-28JFK 08:29 08:53 (+24)DCA 10:02 09:53 (−9)
10-27JFK 08:29 08:23 (−6)DCA 10:02 09:51 (−11)
10-26JFK 08:29 08:22 (−7)DCA 10:02 10:30 (+28)
10-25JFK 08:29 08:22 (−7)DCA 10:02 09:39 (−23)
10-24JFK 08:29 08:22 (−7)DCA 10:02 09:22 (−40)
10-23JFK 08:29 08:20 (−9)DCA 10:02 09:25 (−37)

Aircraft

Recent tails: N135HQ, N409YX, N424YX, N430YX.

Board clocks recorded as JFK and DCA published them.

Planning around AA4586? Will a delayed flight be cancelled? · Do planes make up time in the air? · How we measure

Cite this data

Journalists, bloggers, and researchers may cite this page with attribution and a link to Pro Flight Search.

Suggested citation

Pro Flight Search: AA4586 New York to Washington on-time performance, measured from the JFK and DCA airport boards.

Canonical URL
https://proflightsearch.com/flight/AA4586
How we measure this →