AA4431American Airlines · LGA → ORF
live · 9m ago
Route confirmed American Airlines

AA4431 New YorkLGA · 09:10 NorfolkORF · 10:40

AA4431 by American Airlines flies from New York (LGA) to Norfolk (ORF) for the Fri, Oct 30 departure.

Right nowOn Time · gate 31
09:10

departs LGA · on schedule

Typical gate push−7 minmedian posted departure
Typical arrival−6 minmedian over 15 operations
Cancellation0 in 15tracked operations · cancellation odds calculator →

Where the minutes go

last 7 operations · gate push → arrival
0+30+60+90 min
10-30
−6 arrival
10-29
−11 gate · −15 arrival
10-28
−11 gate · −7 arrival
10-27
−8 gate · −6 arrival
10-26
−9 gate · −13 arrival
10-25
−10 gate · −12 arrival
10-24
−6 gate · −28 arrival

The bar is how late it left the gate; the ring is where it actually arrived. Board clocks, not estimates.

The last 30 days

arrival outcome per operation

median arrival −6 min · 0 cancelled · 15 operations tracked

The route today

live boards
LGANew YorkOn-time likelyLGA delay board →
ORFNorfolkOn-time likelyORF delay board →
LGA→ORFevery carrier, schedules and on-time historyRoute intelligence →

Weather lens

Weather-conditioned outlook for this flight right now

Measured, 90-day sample
39%Chance of 15+ min delay
1.9%Chance of cancellation
+5 minTypical airport delay in this weather

Driven mainly by ORF (Norfolk), currently flying LIFR (low instrument). These figures come from both airports' records under conditions like today's, over the last 90 days.

Pro Flight Search tracking, 90 days · the weather × delay correlation study → · live weather risk by airport →

Tomorrow on this route

Forecast

New York to Norfolk with American Airlines · Sat 31 Oct, local date

Outlook: below usual
Chance a departure is cancelled
1.0%0.2× usual
Chance a departure leaves 60+ min late
7.1%0.7× usual

Forecast: WeatherTomorrow · incl. data from ECMWF (CC BY 4.0, modified) · About 2 departures a day on this route with this airline. · Expected values for tomorrow from a forecast model, kept apart from today's measured figures.

When it flies

scheduled departures
061422
M
T
W
T
F
S
S

Each mark is a scheduled departure at its origin-local time. Today is highlighted.

Other New York to Norfolk flights today

same route · American Airlines
AA4471departs 13:00
AA4589departs 21:10

If AA4431 is cancelled, these are the other American Airlines nonstop flights from New York to Norfolk on the same day, with scheduled departure times in LGA local time. Most flights that show a delay still operate. Rebooking usually helps only when that delay is very large. Every airline on this route →

How AA4431 actually runs

Pro Flight Search has tracked every published board update for AA4431 across the LGA and ORF boards: schedule changes, gate pushes and actual clocks. Usually lands ~5 min early. Based on 13 confirmed landings · 11/13 within 15 min of schedule.

The verdict above is that record speaking, so it reflects how AA4431 operates rather than what the timetable promises. Numbers refresh as new flights operate.

Technical record

How this operation is measured

board clocksaircraft

Board log

scheduled → actual, per operation
10-30LGA 09:10ORF 10:40 10:34 (−6)
10-29LGA 09:10 08:59 (−11)ORF 10:40 10:25 (−15)
10-28LGA 09:15 09:04 (−11)ORF 10:45 10:38 (−7)
10-27LGA 09:15 09:07 (−8)ORF 10:45 10:39 (−6)
10-26LGA 09:10 09:01 (−9)ORF 10:40 10:27 (−13)
10-25LGA 09:10 09:00 (−10)ORF 10:40 10:28 (−12)
10-24LGA 11:20 11:14 (−6)ORF 12:47 12:19 (−28)
10-23LGA 09:10 09:03 (−7)ORF 10:40 10:34 (−6)
10-22LGA 09:10 09:03 (−7)ORF 10:40 10:56 (+16)
10-21LGA 09:15 09:05 (−10)ORF 10:45 10:55 (+10)
10-20LGA 09:15 09:14 (−1)ORF 10:45 10:39 (−6)
10-19LGA 09:10 09:06 (−4)ORF 10:40 10:23 (−17)
10-18LGA 09:10 09:05 (−5)ORF 10:40 10:18 (−22)
10-17LGA 11:20 13:46 (+146)ORF 12:47 15:06 (+139)
10-16LGA 09:10 09:07 (−3)ORF 10:40 11:06 (+26)

Aircraft

Recent tails: N653RW, N654RW, N863RW, N979RP.

Board clocks recorded as LGA and ORF published them.

Cite this data

Journalists, bloggers, and researchers may cite this page with attribution and a link to Pro Flight Search.

Suggested citation

Pro Flight Search: AA4431 New York to Norfolk on-time performance, measured from the LGA and ORF airport boards.

Canonical URL
https://proflightsearch.com/flight/AA4431
How we measure this →