AA3853American Airlines · DCA → BUF
live · 43m ago
Route confirmed American Airlines

AA3853 WashingtonDCA · 22:33 BuffaloBUF · 23:59

AA3853 by American Airlines flies from Washington (DCA) to Buffalo (BUF).

Right nowNext departure today Operates daily
15:04

scheduled from DCA

Typical gate push+31 minmedian posted departure
Typical arrival−4 minmedian over 4 operations
Wins back in air~35 minmedian gate push vs arrival · how planes make up time →

Where the minutes go

last 4 operations · gate push → arrival
0+30+60+90 min
11-12
+31 gate · −4 arrival
10-31
+23 gate · −15 arrival
10-30
+33 gate · −2 arrival
10-29
+31 gate · −4 arrival

The bar is how late it left the gate; the ring is where it actually arrived. Board clocks, not estimates.

The route today

live boards
DCAWashingtonOn-time likelyDCA delay board →
BUFBuffaloHigh riskBUF delay board →
DCA→BUFevery carrier, schedules and on-time historyRoute intelligence →

Weather lens

Weather-conditioned outlook for this flight right now

Measured, 90-day sample
39%Chance of 15+ min delay
1.0%Chance of cancellation
+10 minTypical airport delay in this weather

Driven mainly by DCA (Washington), currently flying MVFR (marginal visual). These figures come from both airports' records under conditions like today's, over the last 90 days.

Pro Flight Search tracking, 90 days · the weather × delay correlation study → · live weather risk by airport →

Tomorrow at DCA

Forecast

Fri 13 Nov, local date

High10°Clikely 8°C to 11°C
Low7°Clikely 5°C to 8°C

Forecast: GateWeather · incl. data from ECMWF (CC BY 4.0, modified) · Expected values for tomorrow from a forecast model, kept apart from today's measured figures.

Tomorrow at BUF

Forecast

Fri 13 Nov, local date

High5°Clikely 3°C to 6°C
Low2°Clikely 0°C to 3°C
  • 21% chance of snow

Forecast: GateWeather · incl. data from ECMWF (CC BY 4.0, modified) · Expected values for tomorrow from a forecast model, kept apart from today's measured figures.

When it flies

scheduled departures
061422
M
T
W
T
F
S
S

Each mark is a scheduled departure at its origin-local time. Today is highlighted.

Other Washington to Buffalo flights today

same route · American Airlines
AA4597departs 08:20
AA5301departs 09:59
AA5472departs 10:05
AA4694departs 10:10
AA5228departs 15:20
AA3956departs 16:18

If AA3853 is cancelled, these are the other American Airlines nonstop flights from Washington to Buffalo on the same day, with scheduled departure times in DCA local time. Most flights that show a delay still operate. Rebooking usually helps only when that delay is very large. Every airline on this route →

How AA3853 actually runs

Pro Flight Search has tracked every published board update for AA3853 across the DCA and BUF boards: schedule changes, gate pushes and actual clocks. Usually lands on time. Based on 4 confirmed landings · 4/4 within 15 min of schedule. Pushes back late but makes up time in the air.

The verdict above is that record speaking, so it reflects how AA3853 operates rather than what the timetable promises. Numbers refresh as new flights operate.

Technical record

How this operation is measured

board clocksaircraft

Board log

scheduled → actual, per operation
11-12DCA 22:33 23:04 (+31)BUF 23:59 23:55 (−4)
10-31DCA 20:00 20:23 (+23)BUF 21:29 21:14 (−15)
10-30DCA 22:33 23:06 (+33)BUF 23:59 23:57 (−2)
10-29DCA 22:33 23:04 (+31)BUF 23:59 23:55 (−4)

Aircraft

Recent tails: N204NN, N219NN.

Board clocks recorded as DCA and BUF published them.

Planning around AA3853? Will a delayed flight be cancelled? · Do planes make up time in the air? · How we measure

Cite this data

Journalists, bloggers, and researchers may cite this page with attribution and a link to Pro Flight Search.

Suggested citation

Pro Flight Search: AA3853 Washington to Buffalo on-time performance, measured from the DCA and BUF airport boards.

Canonical URL
https://proflightsearch.com/flight/AA3853
How we measure this →